Export Event

Title

Ryan Israelsen - Investment Based Valuation 

Location

2050 

Start

2/4/2009 11:00 AM 

End

2/4/2009 12:30 PM 

Description

A generalized version of the standard neoclassical investment model can explain the relatively high equity prices in the late 1990s and early 2000s in the US corporate nonfinancial and NASDAQ sectors along with the relatively low prices before and after this period. Stock returns predicted by the model are as volatile as the observed stock returns in both sectors. Three key model assumptions are multiple capital goods, investment-specific technological change and non-quadratic adjustment costs. During the "bubble" period, investment in equipment is relatively high - consistent with high expected cash flows and high prices. Investment rates subsequently fall - consistent with lower expected cash flows and lower prices. On average, managers' forecasts are correct. Increases in the growth rate of equipment investment coincide with decreases in measured productivity growth. This is consistent with the unobserved diversion of labor from producing output towards accumulating human capital or other intangible assets.

All Day Event

 

Recurrence

 

Workspace

Semester

 

Types

Finance Seminar 

Affiliation

University of Michigan 

Cost

 

Additional Information

 

Additional info - Weblink

 

Workshop?

 
Attachments
InvestmentValuation08Dec.pdf    
Created at 1/27/2009 2:07 PM  by Smith, Kristen 
Last modified at 1/29/2009 2:16 PM  by Strandh, Marion